As of the most-recent vote count, Democrat Norman Solomon and Republican Dan Roberts are separated by only 1.1 percent with tens of thousands of ballots throughout the 2nd Congressional District remaining to be counted before county elections officials certify the election results to the Secretary of State by the first week of July. (http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/close-contests/)
“We are confident once all of the votes cast in this race are actually counted that Norman Solomon will have earned a top-two finish and advance to the general election,” declared Tom Higgins, Solomon’s political consultant.
County elections officials are to report the estimated number of ballots in their possession and remaining to be counted to the Secretary of State later today. However, elections officials in all six counties comprising the 2nd Congressional District have already announced the actual number or made preliminary estimates as to the number of ballots remaining to be counted.
Location and Number of Ballots Remaining to be Counted
Marin County – 20,000 to 25,000 according to Registrar of Voters Elaine Ginnold and reported in the Marin Independent Journal (http://www.marinij.com/tiburonbelvedere/ci_20799359/solomon-2nd-district-congressional-race-remains-wide-open);
Sonoma County – 25,000 to 35,000 according to Registrar of Voters Janice Atkinson and reported in the Santa Rosa Press Democrat (http://www.pressdemocrat.com/article/20120606/ARTICLES/120609646?p=all&;tc=pgall);
It should be noted Sonoma County is split between CD 2 and CD 5, and the number of ballots remaining to be counted in each is unknown at this time.
Mendocino County – 6,634 according to Registrar of Voters Susan M. Ranochak and issued in a press release from her office last night (attached);
Humboldt County – 5,700 as estimated by Registrar of Voters Carolyn Crnich, with media so advised as of this morning;
Del Norte County – 359 according to Registrar of Voters Alissia Northrup’s staff and advised this morning;
Trinity County – Fewer than 300 according to Registrar of Voters Dave Hunt’s staff and advised this morning.
There are fewer ballots remaining to be counted in Trinity, Del Norte, and Humboldt counties combined – where Roberts outperformed Solomon – than in Mendocino County alone, a Solomon stronghold. And there are multiples more ballots remaining to be counted in Mendocino, Sonoma and Marin counties combined, where Solomon handily bested Roberts on Election Day.
“In reviewing these numbers, a conservative estimate is there are at least 40,000 ballots left to be counted in the 2nd Congressional District,” continued Higgins. “More important is the distribution of these remaining ballots throughout the district coupled with the fact that these votes will perform more like polling place votes than early-return absentees did. That is how and why Norman Solomon will overtake Dan Roberts to secure the second-place finish he has earned once all the votes are counted in this race,” concluded Higgins.