Newsflash:
Rep. Barbara Lee Wayne Powell Eric Cantor is not particularly popular in his Republican-leaning district.
Saturday, 22 September 2012 17:13

Eric Cantor is not particularly popular in his Republican-leaning district.

Written by  Harrison Hickman | Hickman Analytics, Inc..

Eric Cantor is not particularly popular in his Republican-leaning district. His personal popularity is 37% favorable, 31% unfavorable. Strongly unfavorable views outnumber strongly favorable ones, 25%- 21%. Cantor’s “re-elect” number is weak: 41% want to re-elect Cantor, while 43% want to replace him.

Large majorities think Cantor focuses on national issues rather than issues facing the district, and that he is more interested in his own political career than “serving the people of this district.” They think he “goes along with the national GOP, even if it’s not right for the district.” Pluralities also think he is too close to special interests, out of step with their personal views, and out of touch with the district.

Cantor does not score especially well on specific issues. He gets more negative than positive scores on controlling government spending, the budget deficit, health care, Congressional reform – all of which are near the top of the list of district voters’ most important issues. Cantor’s negative ratings are also higher than positive on immigration and abortion. His BEST issue is crime – at 51% positive.

The Republican tilt of the district does not mean the race is unwinnable. Indeed, the results suggest a highly funded, well-run challenge could create real problems for the incumbent. In addition to Cantor’s weak standing, voters are split between a moderate Democrat or a conservative Republican (46%-45%); are split on whether Obamacare should be repaired or repealed (48%-46%); and prefer a candidate willing to support some but not all of Obama’s proposals against one “committed to voting against almost everything proposed by” him.

Given the partisan preferences of the district, it is not surprising that Cantor begins with a double-digit lead against the unknown Democratic challenger, Wayne Powell. But after hearing a description of Powell, 51% say they will consider voting for him and the horserace is cut to 41%-47%. After hearing a positive description of Powell and negatives about Cantor, the horserace is statistically even.

Technical note: This memo is based on a sample of 404 likely 2012 voters in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District. Telephone interviewing was conducted June 3rd through 5th, 2012. The sample was selected so all voters with a working landline telephone were equally likely to be contacted and was supplemented with cell phone numbers. The final sample corresponds with known facts about the district. All polls are subject to errors associated with interviewing a sample rather than the entire universe. The estimation associated with a sample of 404 is +/-4.9 percentage points, meaning these results are within 4.9 points of the results that one would get if all likely voters were interviewed.

Link to article from Powell for VA

Read 4300 times

ERA Legislation in your State

Unratified states Gold - Ratified States Purple

Latest News from the Lee Campaign

Latest News from the Grayson Campaign

Latest News from the Schapira Campaign

  • Standard-Bearer in Pivotal Arizona Congressional Race
    Standard-Bearer in Pivotal Arizona Congressional Race

    With early ballots in the mail, and only three weeks from the August 28th primary, State Senator David Schapira has emerged as the Democratic standard-bearer in a closely watched and increasingly nasty three-way congressional race in Arizona that many observers see as a litmus test for national Democratic chances to pick up critical seats in Congress.

    Written on Thursday, 09 August 2012 01:45 Read more...
  • Harry Mitchell Endorses David Schapira for Congress
    Harry Mitchell Endorses David Schapira for Congress

    “The primary in Congressional District 9 has pitted three of the brightest members of the Democratic Party in Arizona against each other. All three candidates are leaders in our state and I am honored to call them friends.

    Written on Thursday, 26 July 2012 12:14 Read more...
  • A Guest Post From Arizona Progressive State Senator David Schapira
    A Guest Post From Arizona Progressive State Senator David Schapira

    Endorsements are a funny thing. Most of them aren't worth anything at all. I have two friends running in the Democratic primary in Arizona's brand new 9th CD, Kyrsten Sinema and Andrei Cherny. Kyrsten is a progressive and Andrei is somewhere in his own world ideologically. But the third guy... well, he's the one who's been endorsed by Raúl-- and by PDA. Whomever wins the August 28th primary is, likelier than not, headed to Congress. That third guy is David Schapira, the Senate Democratic Leader.

    Written on Saturday, 30 June 2012 13:38 Read more...
  • David Schapira Receives PDA Endorsement
    David Schapira Receives PDA Endorsement

    On the May Inside the Party call, David Schapira (AZ-9) received the PDA National endorsement. Currently David Schapira is the Arizona State Senate Democratic Leader.

    Written on Thursday, 24 May 2012 00:00 Read more...
  • Arizona Communications Workers of America State Council Endorses David Schapira for Congress
    Arizona Communications Workers of America State Council Endorses David Schapira for Congress

    The Arizona Communications Workers of America (CWA) State Council announced today their endorsement of Senate Democratic Leader David Schapira, D-Tempe, in the race for Arizona’s Ninth Congressional District. The state council is comprised of the Arizona Correctional Peace Officers Association (AZCPOA), the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA and multiple CWA local affiliates.

    Written on Thursday, 17 May 2012 19:55 Read more...
  • Congressman Raúl Grijalva Endorses David Schapira
    Congressman Raúl Grijalva Endorses David Schapira

    Congressman Raúl Grijalva, AZ-07, today announced his endorsement of Arizona Senate Democratic Leader David Schapira, D-Tempe, in his campaign for Arizona’s Ninth Congressional District. “Voters are looking for candidates who stand up for what they believe in and can win, not by hiding their values, but by sharing them with voters. David is that candidate,” said Rep. Grijalva.

    Written on Monday, 30 April 2012 00:00 Read more...
  • Arizona Union Rights Stripped

    Arizona Governor Jan Brewer pushes the country's most anti-union agenda yet. David Shapira, Democratic leader of the Arizona state senate, slams his Republican colleagues. Welcome back to "The Ed Show." Jan Brewer and the Arizona Republicans are on a tear. they are on the offensive. they are on a mission to completely destroy public employee unions. have you heard the story before?

    Written on Thursday, 02 February 2012 00:00 Read more...
  • State Senator David Schapira Jumps Into District 9 Congressional Race
    State Senator David Schapira Jumps Into District 9 Congressional Race

    As predicted, former state Senator Kyrsten Sinema's not the only Democrat with her eye on Arizona's new Congressional seat -- this morning, state Senate Minority Leader David Schapira announced that he, too, will run in Arizona's newly formed 9th Congressional district.

    Written on Tuesday, 17 January 2012 00:00 Read more...

Sign the Petition - Sen. Sanders Run as a Democrat in 2016

Button-SandersPetition

Like Rep. Barbara Lee

Lori Wallach on the TPP from PDA Progressive Roundtable

Progressive Roundtable with Reps. Ellison and Pocan and Lori Wallach on TPP

TPP: The Biggest Threat to the Internet You've Probably Never Heard Of